CRWD
Long CALLCybersecurityconfirmedBest candidateCrowdStrike Holdings · underlying 402.18 · RS 1.34
Ranking factors
Thesis grade A · +29% YoY growth
Cybersecurity · RS 1.34 vs SPX
bullish · confirmed
Q2 earnings · 38 DTE
OI 11,940 · spread 0.40 (2.2%)
Δ 0.48 · IVR 38 · θ -0.34
0.52x premium on a 5% move
Weakest factor: Risk / reward at 18 — 0.52x premium on a 5% move
Underlying & catalyst
Higher lows since the 340 reclaim, 21EMA support held 4x
Guide raise expected; ARR and module adoption are the swing factors
Company quality & thesis
Grade AMoat Single-agent platform, high switching cost, 8+ module attach
Company-quality first: durable growth with real free cash flow and a platform moat. Price is in an uptrend above a reclaimed shelf, and the catalyst is dated. Long CALL expresses the thesis with defined risk.
Contract
Risk engine pre-check
- · Risk per trade 2.24% exceeds the 0.75% ceiling ($1840 vs $617 max).
! More than 60% of the daily loss budget is already used — consider half size.
! Premium at risk is large for a single-leg long position.
Invalidation Daily close below 388 (loss of the shelf) or thesis break on guidance cut. Hard stop at 50% premium loss.